• DocumentCode
    2465854
  • Title

    The expected value of perfect information: cardiac catheterization after thrombolysis-is the value added greater than the cost?

  • Author

    Bryg, R.J. ; Johns, J.P.

  • Author_Institution
    Veteran Affairs Med. Center, Nevada Univ. Sch. of Med., Reno, NV, USA
  • fYear
    1993
  • fDate
    5-8 Sep 1993
  • Firstpage
    767
  • Lastpage
    770
  • Abstract
    To test the use of the concept of expected value of perfect information (EVPI), the role of catheterization after thrombolysis was addressed since this topic remains controversial. A decision tree was made to compare a strategy of catheterization to a strategy, of exercise testing followed by catheterization if the treadmill test was abnormal. The EVPI for both arms was similar at 0.95 years and represents the uncertainty in life expectancy between 1, 2, and 3 vessel disease. The catheterization arm cost an additional $232000 per year of life saved. In subtree analysis, the EVPI in the catheterization arm was 0.07 years, and increased to 0.13 years for an abnormal treadmill. If 1 life treadmill was normal, the EVPI was 0.01 years. If 1 life-year equals $35000 then one would be willing to spend only $300 to learn if he has 3 vessel disease after a normal treadmill test after thrombolysis
  • Keywords
    cardiology; 0.01 to 0.95 y; arms; cardiac catheterization; decision tree; exercise testing; life expectancy uncertainty; perfect information expected value; subtree analysis; thrombolysis; treadmill test; Catheterization; Computational modeling; Costs; Decision trees; Information analysis; Medical treatment; Random variables; Testing; Uncertainty; Utility theory;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Computers in Cardiology 1993, Proceedings.
  • Conference_Location
    London
  • Print_ISBN
    0-8186-5470-8
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/CIC.1993.378372
  • Filename
    378372