DocumentCode
2465854
Title
The expected value of perfect information: cardiac catheterization after thrombolysis-is the value added greater than the cost?
Author
Bryg, R.J. ; Johns, J.P.
Author_Institution
Veteran Affairs Med. Center, Nevada Univ. Sch. of Med., Reno, NV, USA
fYear
1993
fDate
5-8 Sep 1993
Firstpage
767
Lastpage
770
Abstract
To test the use of the concept of expected value of perfect information (EVPI), the role of catheterization after thrombolysis was addressed since this topic remains controversial. A decision tree was made to compare a strategy of catheterization to a strategy, of exercise testing followed by catheterization if the treadmill test was abnormal. The EVPI for both arms was similar at 0.95 years and represents the uncertainty in life expectancy between 1, 2, and 3 vessel disease. The catheterization arm cost an additional $232000 per year of life saved. In subtree analysis, the EVPI in the catheterization arm was 0.07 years, and increased to 0.13 years for an abnormal treadmill. If 1 life treadmill was normal, the EVPI was 0.01 years. If 1 life-year equals $35000 then one would be willing to spend only $300 to learn if he has 3 vessel disease after a normal treadmill test after thrombolysis
Keywords
cardiology; 0.01 to 0.95 y; arms; cardiac catheterization; decision tree; exercise testing; life expectancy uncertainty; perfect information expected value; subtree analysis; thrombolysis; treadmill test; Catheterization; Computational modeling; Costs; Decision trees; Information analysis; Medical treatment; Random variables; Testing; Uncertainty; Utility theory;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Computers in Cardiology 1993, Proceedings.
Conference_Location
London
Print_ISBN
0-8186-5470-8
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/CIC.1993.378372
Filename
378372
Link To Document