Title :
Research on Server Load Prediction Based on Wavelet Packet Theory
Author_Institution :
Shandong Comput. Sci. Center, Jinan
Abstract :
A server load forecast model is presented based on wavelet packet analysis in this paper. Firstly, the server load time series are decomposed and reconstructed by wavelet packet analysis based on the model in order to get many server signal branches with the same length of history series ; then the BP neural network prediction models are constructed respectively for these branches, and finally their predicted results were combined into final load value. Theory analysis and Experiments slum that the frequency of each signal branch after the original signal is decomposed by wavelet packet is relatively simple and the correlation becomes stronger, so they become easier to be forecasted. The proposed method is superior to traditional predicting approach.
Keywords :
backpropagation; forecasting theory; neural nets; queueing theory; resource allocation; time series; wavelet transforms; BP neural network prediction models; server load forecast model; server load prediction; server load time series; theory analysis; wavelet packet theory; History; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Network servers; Neural networks; Predictive models; Signal analysis; Time series analysis; Wavelet analysis; Wavelet packets; Server load; load prediction; wavelet packet decomposition; wavelet packet reconstruction;
Conference_Titel :
Information Technologies and Applications in Education, 2007. ISITAE '07. First IEEE International Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Kunming
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1386-7
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1386-7
DOI :
10.1109/ISITAE.2007.4409360