Title :
Short-term electrical load forecasting using least squares support vector machines
Author :
Yuancheng, Li ; Tingjian, Fang ; Erkeng, Yu
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Autom., Univ. of Sci. & Technol. of China, China
Abstract :
This paper presents a least squares support vector machines (LS-SVM) approach to short-term electric load forecasting (STLF). The proposed algorithm is more robust and reliable as compared to the traditional approach when actual loads are forecasted and used as input variables. In order to provide the forecasted load, the LS-SVM interpolates among the load and temperature data in a training data set. Analysis of the experimental results proved that this approach can achieve greater forecasting accuracy than the traditional model.
Keywords :
learning automata; least squares approximations; load forecasting; least squares support vector machines; load data; power system; short-term electrical load forecasting; temperature data; training data set; Economic forecasting; Equations; Kernel; Least squares methods; Load forecasting; Predictive models; Quadratic programming; Robustness; Space technology; Support vector machines;
Conference_Titel :
Power System Technology, 2002. Proceedings. PowerCon 2002. International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-7459-2
DOI :
10.1109/ICPST.2002.1053540