• DocumentCode
    2501960
  • Title

    Forecast of stock price volatility based on the multi-fractal spectrum analysis

  • Author

    Yang, Tianqi ; Deng, Jiaxing

  • Author_Institution
    Jinan Univ., Guangzhou
  • fYear
    2008
  • fDate
    25-27 June 2008
  • Firstpage
    9100
  • Lastpage
    9104
  • Abstract
    This paper mainly employs multi-fractal spectrum theory to study the time series of stock price fluctuations law. First, multi-fractal analysis on the stock market of China prove that stock price fluctuations obey multi-fractal random walk, and then research on the Multi-spectrum characteristics change before and after the continued strong fluctuations time sequence of stock prices through empirical analysis. Then, study the relationship between the Multi-spectrum parameters and price changes in the time series, thus proving that Multi-spectrum parameters has some predictive capability. Finally construct the stock price volatility forecast model, the clustering forecast on the Multi-spectrum parameters access to the higher accuracy forecast results, It show out a new research method on the stock price forecasting.
  • Keywords
    economic forecasting; fractals; pricing; random processes; share prices; stock markets; time series; financial time series; multi fractal random walk; multi fractal spectrum analysis; stock market; stock price fluctuations; stock price volatility forecast; Automation; Economic forecasting; Fluctuations; Fractals; Intelligent control; Predictive models; Stock markets; Time series analysis; Financial time series; Forecast; multi-fractal spectrum;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Intelligent Control and Automation, 2008. WCICA 2008. 7th World Congress on
  • Conference_Location
    Chongqing
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2113-8
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2114-5
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WCICA.2008.4594368
  • Filename
    4594368