Title : 
Load modeling using the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process
         
        
            Author : 
Perninge, Magnus ; Amelin, Mikael ; Knazkins, Valerijs
         
        
            Author_Institution : 
Electr. Power Syst., R. Inst. of Technol., Stockholm
         
        
        
        
        
        
            Abstract : 
In this paper we show how to model the load in an electric power system using the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and use the method developed by Lehmann to find the distribution of the maximum of the load process in a bounded time interval. A numerical example showing how to find an upper confidence bound for the maximum of the maximum of the load process in a bounded time interval using the proposed method will also be given.
         
        
            Keywords : 
load distribution; power system management; power systems; Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process; confidence bound; electric power system; load modeling; Costs; Electricity supply industry; Electricity supply industry deregulation; Helium; Load modeling; Piecewise linear techniques; Power grids; Power system modeling; Power systems; Uncertainty;
         
        
        
        
            Conference_Titel : 
Power and Energy Conference, 2008. PECon 2008. IEEE 2nd International
         
        
            Conference_Location : 
Johor Bahru
         
        
            Print_ISBN : 
978-1-4244-2404-7
         
        
            Electronic_ISBN : 
978-1-4244-2405-4
         
        
        
            DOI : 
10.1109/PECON.2008.4762586