Title :
Genetic programming with Monte Carlo simulation for option pricing
Author :
Chidambaran, N.K.
Author_Institution :
Rutgers Bus. Sch., Rutgers Univ., Piscataway, NJ, USA
Abstract :
I examine the role of programming parameters in determining the accuracy of genetic programming for option pricing. I use Monte Carlo simulations to generate stock and option price data needed to develop a genetic option pricing program. I simulate data for two different stock price processes - a geometric Brownian process and a jump-diffusion process. In the jump-diffusion setting, I seed the genetic program with the Black-Scholes equation as a starting approximation. I find that population size, fitness criteria, and the ability to seed the program with known analytical equations, are important determinants of the efficiency of genetic programming.
Keywords :
Monte Carlo methods; digital simulation; financial data processing; genetic algorithms; pricing; stock markets; Black-Scholes equation; Monte Carlo simulation; analytical equations; data simulation; fitness criteria; genetic option pricing program; genetic programming; geometric Brownian process; jump-diffusion process; option price data; option pricing; population size; programming parameters; stock price data; stock price processes; Closed-form solution; Diffusion processes; Environmental economics; Equations; Genetic programming; Neural networks; Numerical models; Pricing; Solid modeling; Stochastic processes;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2003. Proceedings of the 2003 Winter
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-8131-9
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2003.1261435