Title :
Short-term electric power load forecasting based on goal programming model
Author :
Zhang, Jie ; Xu, Lingmin ; Niu, Xinyu
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Math., Northeast Dianli Univ., Jilin, China
Abstract :
This paper studies the short-term electric power load forecasting. First, we use the product of polynomial functions and Fourier series as a function of load trends. After that the goal programming model of parameter estimation is established, and it is solved by the pattern search method. Finally the model is tested through the actual load data in a region from May 27th, 2008 to June 2nd, 2008. The relative error of prediction is 2.44%.
Keywords :
Fourier series; load forecasting; mathematical programming; parameter estimation; polynomials; search problems; Fourier series; goal programming model; parameter estimation; pattern search method; polynomial function; short-term electric power load forecasting; Electricity; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Programming; electric power load forecasting; objective programming; pattern search method;
Conference_Titel :
Control and Decision Conference (CCDC), 2011 Chinese
Conference_Location :
Mianyang
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-8737-0
DOI :
10.1109/CCDC.2011.5968941
