DocumentCode
2525324
Title
Short-term electric power load forecasting based on goal programming model
Author
Zhang, Jie ; Xu, Lingmin ; Niu, Xinyu
Author_Institution
Dept. of Math., Northeast Dianli Univ., Jilin, China
fYear
2011
fDate
23-25 May 2011
Firstpage
4092
Lastpage
4095
Abstract
This paper studies the short-term electric power load forecasting. First, we use the product of polynomial functions and Fourier series as a function of load trends. After that the goal programming model of parameter estimation is established, and it is solved by the pattern search method. Finally the model is tested through the actual load data in a region from May 27th, 2008 to June 2nd, 2008. The relative error of prediction is 2.44%.
Keywords
Fourier series; load forecasting; mathematical programming; parameter estimation; polynomials; search problems; Fourier series; goal programming model; parameter estimation; pattern search method; polynomial function; short-term electric power load forecasting; Electricity; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Programming; electric power load forecasting; objective programming; pattern search method;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Control and Decision Conference (CCDC), 2011 Chinese
Conference_Location
Mianyang
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-8737-0
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/CCDC.2011.5968941
Filename
5968941
Link To Document