Escaping a microburst with turbulence

This paper compares three escape strategies for microburst encounters during final landing approach: altitude guidance, dive guidance, and pitch guidance. In the paper, two different approaches are used for comparison. 1) In a sample analysis approach, typical samples of the time histories of various variables are analyzed. 2) In a statistical approach, the probability distribution of the minimum altitude is estimated by the Monte Carlo method when the statistical properties of the microburst parameters are known. Both approaches suggest that, within the modeling assumptions of this paper, and in the absence of human factors, altitude and dive guidance with low commanded altitude may provide better safety than pitch guidance