Title :
Hybrid flexible neural tree for exchange rates forecasting
Author :
Zhang, Lei ; Chen, Yuehui ; Chen, Zhenxiang
Author_Institution :
Shandong Provincial Key Lab. of Network Based Intell. Comput., Univ. of Jinan, Jinan, China
Abstract :
Exchange rate is an important link of international economic relations. In this paper, a novel method for improving flexible neural tree is proposed to forecasting exchange rate data. The hybrid flexible neural tree with pre-defined instruction sets can be created and evolved. The structure and parameters of hybrid flexible neural tree is optimized using probabilistic incremental program evolution and particle swarm optimization algorithm. Compared with the conventional artificial neural network and flexible neural tree based on gene expression programming, the experimental results indicate that the proposed method is feasible and efficient.
Keywords :
exchange rates; forecasting theory; instruction sets; international finance; learning (artificial intelligence); particle swarm optimisation; exchange rate forecasting; hybrid flexible neural tree; instruction sets; international economic relations; particle swarm optimization; probabilistic incremental program evolution; Artificial neural networks; Computational modeling; Exchange rates; Forecasting; Neurons; Predictive models; Vectors; exchange rate; flexible neural tree; forecasting; particle swarm optimization;
Conference_Titel :
Natural Computation (ICNC), 2012 Eighth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Chongqing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-2130-4
DOI :
10.1109/ICNC.2012.6234577