Title :
Modeling the social resilience of mountain communities under volcanic risks
Author :
Sagala, Saut ; Okada, Norio ; Paton, Douglas
Author_Institution :
Grad. Sch. of Eng., Kyoto Univ., Kyoto, Japan
Abstract :
Herein is modeled the social resilience of communities under volcanic risks. The model is based on causal-relationship factors that contribute to the development of social resilience in communities. Resilience in the model is measured by the variable `intention to prepare´ and is predicted by factors at personal, community and institutional level. The hypothetical model was then proposed and tested using data from communities living in the southern flanks of Mt. Merapi, Yogyakarta, Indonesia. Two significant results were obtained confirming that the social resilience of communities in the study area is mainly predicted by the community-level variables and institutional variables.
Keywords :
risk management; safety; societies; volcanology; Mt. Merapi; causal-relationship factors; community-level variables; hypothetical model; institutional variables; mountain communities; social resilience modeling; volcanic risks; Communities; Cybernetics; Equations; Local government; Numerical analysis; Predictive models; Psychology; Resilience; Testing; USA Councils; Mt. Merapi; community; social resilience; volcanic risk;
Conference_Titel :
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 2009. SMC 2009. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
San Antonio, TX
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2793-2
Electronic_ISBN :
1062-922X
DOI :
10.1109/ICSMC.2009.5345926