Title :
A sort of new energy consumption forecast method
Author :
Yang, Xiao Hong ; Guo, Shu Xu ; Zhang, Yong Hong ; Yang, Hong Tao
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electron. Sci. & Eng., Univ. of Jilin, Changchun
Abstract :
A model of heredity nerve network with energy consumption forecast is proposed in this paper, which performs the multi-wavelets filter processing to the energy consumption value. Heredity algorithm is applied to optimize the initial weight value and the threshold value of the nerve network, and to overcome such inherent flaws as slow BP network training speed, which makes it easy to converge partial minimum point and weak overall search ability, etc. and enhance the forecast result accuracy to a certain extent. This text simulates the algorithm based on some steel companies. The result indicates that the model has higher forecast precision and quicker convergence speed compared with the traditional BP algorithm.
Keywords :
backpropagation; energy consumption; load forecasting; power engineering computing; steel industry; wavelet transforms; energy consumption forecast method; heredity nerve network; initial weight value; multiwavelets filter processing; steel companies; threshold value; Energy consumption; Load forecasting; BP Neutral Network; Energy Consumption Prediction; Heredity Nerve Network;
Conference_Titel :
Control and Decision Conference, 2008. CCDC 2008. Chinese
Conference_Location :
Yantai, Shandong
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1733-9
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1734-6
DOI :
10.1109/CCDC.2008.4598003