• DocumentCode
    2569194
  • Title

    An experimental study on four models of customer churn prediction

  • Author

    Zhu, Chao ; Qi, Jiayin ; Wang, Chen

  • Author_Institution
    Econ. & Manage. Sch., Beijing Univ. of Posts & Telecommun., Beijing, China
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    11-14 Oct. 2009
  • Firstpage
    3199
  • Lastpage
    3204
  • Abstract
    Decision tree, neural network and logistic regression were applied frequently as models of customer churn prediction, but the application of them has been mature and they are difficult to be improved. In this paper, Bayesian networks, support vector machines, rough sets and survival analysis were selected for experimental comparison study. An integrated contrast among the four models from the applicability of model in theory and experimental comparison has been processed. Overall, of the four models the Bayesian network model performed best while the survival analysis did worst.
  • Keywords
    Bayes methods; customer relationship management; rough set theory; support vector machines; Bayesian network; customer churn prediction; decision tree model; logistic regression model; neural network model; rough set theory; support vector machine; survival analysis; Artificial intelligence; Bayesian methods; Data mining; Graph theory; Knowledge representation; Logistics; Predictive models; Regression tree analysis; Rough sets; Support vector machines; Bayesian networks; Rough sets; SVM; Survival analysis; customer churn;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 2009. SMC 2009. IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    San Antonio, TX
  • ISSN
    1062-922X
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2793-2
  • Electronic_ISBN
    1062-922X
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICSMC.2009.5346170
  • Filename
    5346170