DocumentCode :
2569638
Title :
Traffic flow short-time prediction using fractal theory
Author :
Hong Zhao, Dong ; Jianjun, Xu ; Ning, Chen
Author_Institution :
Key Lab. of Mech. Manuf. & Autom., Zhejiang Univ. of Technol., Hangzhou
fYear :
2008
fDate :
2-4 July 2008
Firstpage :
4666
Lastpage :
4670
Abstract :
Itpsilas very difficult to predict the nonlinear traffic flow message, especially short-time traffic flow. To solve the issue, the nonlinear fractal phenomenon of urban traffic is analyzed. Based on the fractal prediction technology applied in other fields, a dedicated improved fractal model is raised to predict short-time traffic flow parameter. A minimum fractal dimension is given according to the distinguished concrete traffic circumstance in the model. The weekly traffic similarity is also inducted to improve the accuracy of the model. Finally, the improved fractal model is employed to predict the traffic flow in Hangzhou city. The experiment result shows the improved fractal method proposed here possesses a high prediction precision.
Keywords :
nonlinear control systems; road traffic; traffic control; fractal prediction technology; fractal theory; high prediction precision; nonlinear traffic flow message; traffic flow short-time prediction; urban traffic; Cities and towns; Concrete; Educational technology; Electronic mail; Fractals; Manufacturing automation; Predictive models; Tin; Traffic control; fractal theory; prediction model; short-time prediction; traffic flow;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Control and Decision Conference, 2008. CCDC 2008. Chinese
Conference_Location :
Yantai, Shandong
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1733-9
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1734-6
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/CCDC.2008.4598215
Filename :
4598215
Link To Document :
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