• DocumentCode
    2569638
  • Title

    Traffic flow short-time prediction using fractal theory

  • Author

    Hong Zhao, Dong ; Jianjun, Xu ; Ning, Chen

  • Author_Institution
    Key Lab. of Mech. Manuf. & Autom., Zhejiang Univ. of Technol., Hangzhou
  • fYear
    2008
  • fDate
    2-4 July 2008
  • Firstpage
    4666
  • Lastpage
    4670
  • Abstract
    Itpsilas very difficult to predict the nonlinear traffic flow message, especially short-time traffic flow. To solve the issue, the nonlinear fractal phenomenon of urban traffic is analyzed. Based on the fractal prediction technology applied in other fields, a dedicated improved fractal model is raised to predict short-time traffic flow parameter. A minimum fractal dimension is given according to the distinguished concrete traffic circumstance in the model. The weekly traffic similarity is also inducted to improve the accuracy of the model. Finally, the improved fractal model is employed to predict the traffic flow in Hangzhou city. The experiment result shows the improved fractal method proposed here possesses a high prediction precision.
  • Keywords
    nonlinear control systems; road traffic; traffic control; fractal prediction technology; fractal theory; high prediction precision; nonlinear traffic flow message; traffic flow short-time prediction; urban traffic; Cities and towns; Concrete; Educational technology; Electronic mail; Fractals; Manufacturing automation; Predictive models; Tin; Traffic control; fractal theory; prediction model; short-time prediction; traffic flow;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Control and Decision Conference, 2008. CCDC 2008. Chinese
  • Conference_Location
    Yantai, Shandong
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1733-9
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1734-6
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/CCDC.2008.4598215
  • Filename
    4598215