Title : 
A new method for forecasting the TAIEX based on high-order fuzzy logical relationships
         
        
            Author : 
Chen, Chao-Dian ; Chen, Shyi-Ming
         
        
            Author_Institution : 
Dept. of Comput. Sci. & Inf. Eng., Nat. Taiwan Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Taipei, Taiwan
         
        
        
        
        
        
            Abstract : 
In this paper, we present a new method to forecast the Taiwan stock exchange capitalization weighted stock index (TAIEX) based on high-order fuzzy logical relationships. First, the proposed method fuzzifies the historical data into fuzzy sets to form high-order fuzzy logical relationships. Then, it calculates the value of the variable between the subscripts of adjacent fuzzy sets appearing in the antecedents of high-order fuzzy logical relationships. Then, it lets the high-order fuzzy logical relationships having the same antecedent to form a high-order fuzzy logical relationship group. Finally, it chooses a high-order fuzzy logical relationship group to forecast the TAIEX. The proposed method gets a higher average forecasting accuracy rate than the existing methods to forecast the TAIEX.
         
        
            Keywords : 
fuzzy set theory; stock markets; TAIEX; Taiwan stock exchange capitalization weighted stock index; adjacent fuzzy sets; high-order fuzzy logical relationships; Chaos; Computer science; Cybernetics; Fuzzy logic; Fuzzy set theory; Fuzzy sets; Fuzzy systems; Stock markets; Technology forecasting; USA Councils; fuzzy forecasting; fuzzy sets; fuzzy time series; high-order fuzzy logical relationships; high-order fuzzy time series;
         
        
        
        
            Conference_Titel : 
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 2009. SMC 2009. IEEE International Conference on
         
        
            Conference_Location : 
San Antonio, TX
         
        
        
            Print_ISBN : 
978-1-4244-2793-2
         
        
            Electronic_ISBN : 
1062-922X
         
        
        
            DOI : 
10.1109/ICSMC.2009.5346231