DocumentCode
2585679
Title
Effects of parameter selection on forecast accuracy and execution time in nonparametric regression
Author
Smith, Brian L. ; Oswald, R. Keith
Author_Institution
Dept. of Civil Eng., Virginia Univ., Charlottesville, VA, USA
fYear
2000
fDate
2000
Firstpage
252
Lastpage
257
Abstract
Recent research has shown nonparametric regression to hold high potential to accurately forecast short-term traffic flow. Nonparametric regression is a forecasting technique based on nearest neighbor searching in which forecasts are derived from past observations that are similar to the current conditions. However, many practical, fundamental questions remain, such as how to reduce execution times while addressing concerns about acceptable designs and implementations of the nonparametric regression algorithm. The results presented indicate that advanced data structures can significantly reduce the execution time of nearest neighbor nonparametric regression. Further reductions in execution time may be achieved through the use of approximate nearest neighbors, but at the expense of forecast accuracy
Keywords
automated highways; computational complexity; data structures; forecasting theory; statistical analysis; ITS; IVHS; advanced data structures; execution time reduction; forecast accuracy; intelligent transportation systems; nearest neighbor searching; nonparametric regression; parameter selection effects; short-term traffic flow forecasting; Algorithm design and analysis; Civil engineering; Databases; Economic forecasting; Intelligent transportation systems; Load forecasting; Nearest neighbor searches; Road safety; Road transportation; Telecommunication traffic;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2000. Proceedings. 2000 IEEE
Conference_Location
Dearborn, MI
Print_ISBN
0-7803-5971-2
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ITSC.2000.881062
Filename
881062
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