Notice of RetractionThe analysis of the saturation characteristic of the growth mode in the tropics

Notice of Retraction

After careful and considered review of the content of this paper by a duly constituted expert committee, this paper has been found to be in violation of IEEE´s Publication Principles.

We hereby retract the content of this paper. Reasonable effort should be made to remove all past references to this paper.

The presenting author of this paper has the option to appeal this decision by contacting TPII@ieee.org.

The study of the saturation characteristic for the growth mode in the tropics has been done by the ensemble prediction using breeding growth mode(BGM) based on the T63L9 model. In the tropics and the extra tropics,the differences of the saturation characteristic for the size and configuration of the growth mode have been analysised in the “no rescaling” and “dynamic rescaling”,besides the influences on the size of growth mode are discussed when changing measurement of the initial mode. The result indict that in the tropics,the growth mode can grow by the BGM, which can grow more rapidly in “dynamic rescaling” than “no rescaling” and can be saturated more easily. The different measurement of the initial mode have impact on the saturation of perturbation, so in different regions the size of mode should be selected suitably, the mode will take 2~3 days to be saturated in the tropics. In general, it is adaptive to choose 30%-50% of the model 24-hour forecast RMSE as the initial mode.