Title :
Empirical study of the correlation between real estate prices and bank loans based on VAR model
Author :
Tan, Zheng ; Qin, Zheng
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Inf. Manage. & Eng., Shanghai Univ. of Finance & Econ., Shanghai, China
Abstract :
This paper theoretically analyzes the relationship between Chinese real estate prices and bank loans, then based on quarterly data of the Chinese calendar year, conducts empirical test on the interaction through the vector auto-regression model (VAR), and gives the quantitative description about the relationship through co-integration test, as well as the contribution rate of one party to another through impulse response function and variance decomposition. At last according to the results of empirical analysis, we give the policy suggestions and comments.
Keywords :
banking; pricing; property market; regression analysis; transient response; Chinese calendar year; Chinese real estate price; VAR model; bank loan; cointegration test; impulse response function; variance decomposition; vector autoregression model; Analytical models; Economic indicators; Fluctuations; Mathematical model; Reactive power; Time series analysis; VAR; bank loans; co-integration test; real estate prices; variance decomposition;
Conference_Titel :
Computer Science and Service System (CSSS), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Nanjing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-9762-1
DOI :
10.1109/CSSS.2011.5974398