Title :
Folded standardized time series area variance estimators for simulation
Author :
Antonini, Claudia ; Alexopoulos, Christos ; Goldsman, David ; Wilson, James R.
Author_Institution :
Univ. Simon Bolivar Sartenejas, Bolivar
Abstract :
We estimate the variance parameter of a stationary simulation-generated process using "folded" versions of standardized time series area estimators. We formulate improved variance estimators based on the combination of multiple folding levels as well as the use of batching. The improved estimators preserve the asymptotic bias properties of their predecessors but have substantially lower variance. A Monte Carlo example demonstrates the efficacy of the new methodology.
Keywords :
batch processing (industrial); parameter estimation; simulation; time series; Monte Carlo method; asymptotic bias property; batch process; folded standardized time series area variance estimation; parameter estimation; stationary simulation process; Analytical models; Bridges; Discrete event simulation; Modeling; Monte Carlo methods; Parameter estimation; Sociotechnical systems; Statistical analysis; Steady-state; Systems engineering and theory;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2007 Winter
Conference_Location :
Washington, DC
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1306-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1306-5
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2007.4419635