DocumentCode
2615388
Title
Folded standardized time series area variance estimators for simulation
Author
Antonini, Claudia ; Alexopoulos, Christos ; Goldsman, David ; Wilson, James R.
Author_Institution
Univ. Simon Bolivar Sartenejas, Bolivar
fYear
2007
fDate
9-12 Dec. 2007
Firstpage
455
Lastpage
462
Abstract
We estimate the variance parameter of a stationary simulation-generated process using "folded" versions of standardized time series area estimators. We formulate improved variance estimators based on the combination of multiple folding levels as well as the use of batching. The improved estimators preserve the asymptotic bias properties of their predecessors but have substantially lower variance. A Monte Carlo example demonstrates the efficacy of the new methodology.
Keywords
batch processing (industrial); parameter estimation; simulation; time series; Monte Carlo method; asymptotic bias property; batch process; folded standardized time series area variance estimation; parameter estimation; stationary simulation process; Analytical models; Bridges; Discrete event simulation; Modeling; Monte Carlo methods; Parameter estimation; Sociotechnical systems; Statistical analysis; Steady-state; Systems engineering and theory;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Simulation Conference, 2007 Winter
Conference_Location
Washington, DC
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-1306-5
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-1306-5
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/WSC.2007.4419635
Filename
4419635
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