DocumentCode :
2615388
Title :
Folded standardized time series area variance estimators for simulation
Author :
Antonini, Claudia ; Alexopoulos, Christos ; Goldsman, David ; Wilson, James R.
Author_Institution :
Univ. Simon Bolivar Sartenejas, Bolivar
fYear :
2007
fDate :
9-12 Dec. 2007
Firstpage :
455
Lastpage :
462
Abstract :
We estimate the variance parameter of a stationary simulation-generated process using "folded" versions of standardized time series area estimators. We formulate improved variance estimators based on the combination of multiple folding levels as well as the use of batching. The improved estimators preserve the asymptotic bias properties of their predecessors but have substantially lower variance. A Monte Carlo example demonstrates the efficacy of the new methodology.
Keywords :
batch processing (industrial); parameter estimation; simulation; time series; Monte Carlo method; asymptotic bias property; batch process; folded standardized time series area variance estimation; parameter estimation; stationary simulation process; Analytical models; Bridges; Discrete event simulation; Modeling; Monte Carlo methods; Parameter estimation; Sociotechnical systems; Statistical analysis; Steady-state; Systems engineering and theory;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2007 Winter
Conference_Location :
Washington, DC
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1306-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1306-5
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2007.4419635
Filename :
4419635
Link To Document :
بازگشت