• DocumentCode
    2615388
  • Title

    Folded standardized time series area variance estimators for simulation

  • Author

    Antonini, Claudia ; Alexopoulos, Christos ; Goldsman, David ; Wilson, James R.

  • Author_Institution
    Univ. Simon Bolivar Sartenejas, Bolivar
  • fYear
    2007
  • fDate
    9-12 Dec. 2007
  • Firstpage
    455
  • Lastpage
    462
  • Abstract
    We estimate the variance parameter of a stationary simulation-generated process using "folded" versions of standardized time series area estimators. We formulate improved variance estimators based on the combination of multiple folding levels as well as the use of batching. The improved estimators preserve the asymptotic bias properties of their predecessors but have substantially lower variance. A Monte Carlo example demonstrates the efficacy of the new methodology.
  • Keywords
    batch processing (industrial); parameter estimation; simulation; time series; Monte Carlo method; asymptotic bias property; batch process; folded standardized time series area variance estimation; parameter estimation; stationary simulation process; Analytical models; Bridges; Discrete event simulation; Modeling; Monte Carlo methods; Parameter estimation; Sociotechnical systems; Statistical analysis; Steady-state; Systems engineering and theory;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Simulation Conference, 2007 Winter
  • Conference_Location
    Washington, DC
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1306-5
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1306-5
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WSC.2007.4419635
  • Filename
    4419635