Title :
New Model for Residual Value Prediction of the Used Car Based on BP Neural Network and Nonlinear Curve Fit
Author :
Gongqi, Shen ; Yansong, Wang ; Qiang, Zhu
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Automotive Eng., Shanghai Univ. of Eng. Sci., Shanghai, China
Abstract :
A new model for predicting the residual value of the private used car with various conditions, such as manufacturer, mileage, time of life, etc., was developed in this paper. A comprehensive method combined by the BP neural network and nonlinear curve fit was introduced for optimizing the model due to its flexible nonlinearity. Firstly, some distribution curves of residual value of the used cars were analyzed in time domain. Then, the BP neural network (NN) was established and used to extract the feature of the distribution curves in various conditions. A set of schemed data was used to train the NN and reached the training goal. Finally, the schemed data as inputs and the NN outputs were organized for nonlinear curve fit. Conclusion was drawn that the newly proposed model is feasible and accurate for residual value prediction of the used cars with various conditions.
Keywords :
automobiles; backpropagation; marketing; neural nets; BP neural network; nonlinear curve fit; private used car; residual value prediction; Appraisal; Artificial neural networks; Biological system modeling; Feature extraction; Maintenance engineering; Predictive models; Training; BP neural network; nonlinear curve fit; used car;
Conference_Titel :
Measuring Technology and Mechatronics Automation (ICMTMA), 2011 Third International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shangshai
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-9010-3
DOI :
10.1109/ICMTMA.2011.455