Title :
Building of trust evaluation model based on the failure prediction
Author_Institution :
Graduate Sch. of Syst. Manage., Tsukuba Univ., Ibaraki
Abstract :
The paper suggests an effective bankruptcy avoidance behavior by a creditor. Empirical work based on actual data found the risk factor effectively in the credit accommodation from bankruptcy enterprises. An extreme validity risk factor was obtained: Information of Liability and Equity “Ile”. Ile is the decomposition analysis index developed by the author, which means the detection of the abnormality that is the basis of trust evaluation with business. The trust fear alarm (which involves Ile), achieved high precision as a bankruptcy forecast model. The signs of bankruptcy were distinguished by focusing on the flow of funds processes, based on the rationality of the experiential subjectivity. This proved that foresight could be raised by watching the account information closely
Keywords :
financial data processing; forecasting theory; risk management; statistical analysis; Ile; Information of Liability and Equity; account information; actual data; bankruptcy avoidance behavior; bankruptcy enterprises; bankruptcy forecast model; cash flow analysis; credit accommodation; creditor; decomposition analysis index; experiential subjectivity; extreme validity risk factor; failure prediction; flow of funds processes; risk factor; trust evaluation model; trust fear alarm; Banking; Information analysis; Intelligent systems; Investments; Knowledge engineering; Loans and mortgages; Marketing and sales; Predictive models; Risk analysis; Systems engineering and theory;
Conference_Titel :
Knowledge-Based Intelligent Engineering Systems and Allied Technologies, 2000. Proceedings. Fourth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Brighton
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-6400-7
DOI :
10.1109/KES.2000.884132