DocumentCode
2632067
Title
Application of self-organizing combination forecasting method in power load forecast
Author
Sun, Wei ; Zhang, Xing
Author_Institution
North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding
Volume
2
fYear
2007
fDate
2-4 Nov. 2007
Firstpage
613
Lastpage
617
Abstract
According to the load properties of electric power, four kinds of component forecasting models are chosen and a new combination forecasting model based on Self-organizing data mining algorithm is introducted in this paper. The forecasted results of each component forcasting models are used as the input of self-organizing data mining algorithm, and the output are the results of combination forecasting. In order to vertify the validity and maneuverability of the model, a load forecasting example is given and the result show that this model can improve the forecasting ability remarkably when comparing to optimal combination forecasting and artificial neural network combination forecasting.
Keywords
data mining; load forecasting; power engineering computing; self-organising feature maps; combination forecasting; component forecasting; electric power; power load forecasting; self-organizing data mining; Artificial neural networks; Data mining; Economic forecasting; Energy management; Load forecasting; Polynomials; Power system modeling; Predictive models; Sun; Testing; Power load forecast; Self-organizing combination forecasting; Self-organizing data mining algorithm;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Wavelet Analysis and Pattern Recognition, 2007. ICWAPR '07. International Conference on
Conference_Location
Beijing
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-1065-1
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-1066-8
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICWAPR.2007.4420742
Filename
4420742
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