• DocumentCode
    2632067
  • Title

    Application of self-organizing combination forecasting method in power load forecast

  • Author

    Sun, Wei ; Zhang, Xing

  • Author_Institution
    North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding
  • Volume
    2
  • fYear
    2007
  • fDate
    2-4 Nov. 2007
  • Firstpage
    613
  • Lastpage
    617
  • Abstract
    According to the load properties of electric power, four kinds of component forecasting models are chosen and a new combination forecasting model based on Self-organizing data mining algorithm is introducted in this paper. The forecasted results of each component forcasting models are used as the input of self-organizing data mining algorithm, and the output are the results of combination forecasting. In order to vertify the validity and maneuverability of the model, a load forecasting example is given and the result show that this model can improve the forecasting ability remarkably when comparing to optimal combination forecasting and artificial neural network combination forecasting.
  • Keywords
    data mining; load forecasting; power engineering computing; self-organising feature maps; combination forecasting; component forecasting; electric power; power load forecasting; self-organizing data mining; Artificial neural networks; Data mining; Economic forecasting; Energy management; Load forecasting; Polynomials; Power system modeling; Predictive models; Sun; Testing; Power load forecast; Self-organizing combination forecasting; Self-organizing data mining algorithm;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Wavelet Analysis and Pattern Recognition, 2007. ICWAPR '07. International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Beijing
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1065-1
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1066-8
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICWAPR.2007.4420742
  • Filename
    4420742