DocumentCode
263305
Title
Parameter estimation in multi-compartment SIR model
Author
Saito, Masaya M. ; Imoto, Seiya ; Yamaguchi, Ryo ; Miyano, S. ; Higuchi, Tatsuro
Author_Institution
Inst. of Stat. Math., Tachikawa, Japan
fYear
2014
fDate
7-10 July 2014
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
5
Abstract
Sentinel observations of influenza epidemic in each prefecture indicates basically unimodal trend but with irregular shocks, which are synchronous among prefectures. In this study, we have confirmed that the the strength of inter-regional connection and local probabilistic fluctuation are separately identifiable in a multi-compartment SIR model.
Keywords
epidemics; parameter estimation; probability; influenza epidemic; interregional connection; local probabilistic fluctuation; multicompartment SIR model; parameter estimation; sentinel observations; unimodal trend; Data models; Diseases; Kalman filters; Market research; Mathematical model; Stochastic processes; Vaccines;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Information Fusion (FUSION), 2014 17th International Conference on
Conference_Location
Salamanca
Type
conf
Filename
6916269
Link To Document