• DocumentCode
    2646116
  • Title

    High order fuzzy time series for exchange rates forecasting

  • Author

    Abdullah, Lazim ; Taib, Imran

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Math., Univ. Malaysia Terengganu, Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    28-29 June 2011
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    5
  • Abstract
    Fuzzy time series model has been employed by many researchers in various forecasting activities such as university enrolment, temperature, direct tax collection and the most popular stock price forecasting. However exchange rate forecasting especially using high order fuzzy time series has been given less attention despite its huge contribution in business transactions. The paper aims to test the forecasting of US dollar (USD) against Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) exchange rates using high order fuzzy time series and check its accuracy. Twenty five data set of the exchange rates USD against MYR was tested to the seven-step of high fuzzy time series. The results show that higher order fuzzy time series yield very small errors thereby the model does produce a good forecasting tool for the exchange rates.
  • Keywords
    foreign exchange trading; fuzzy systems; time series; business transactions; exchange rate forecasting; fuzzy time series; Computational modeling; Exchange rates; Forecasting; Fuzzy sets; Pragmatics; Predictive models; Time series analysis; exchange rate; forecasting; fuzzy set; square error; time series;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Data Mining and Optimization (DMO), 2011 3rd Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Putrajaya
  • ISSN
    2155-6938
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-61284-211-0
  • Electronic_ISBN
    2155-6938
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/DMO.2011.5976496
  • Filename
    5976496