DocumentCode :
2656047
Title :
Research on Forecast of Sugar Price Based on Improved Neural Network
Author :
Xu Yongchun ; Shen Shiquan ; Chen Zhen
Author_Institution :
Guangdong Inst. of Sci. & Technol., Guangzhou
fYear :
2009
fDate :
23-25 Jan. 2009
Firstpage :
12
Lastpage :
15
Abstract :
According to the feature of market fluctuations in the price of sugar, an optimization algorithm based on improved genetic neural network training was proposed in this paper. A population optimization model on adaptive crossover and mutation operator and niche was designed, by applying gray theory and technology, the sugar price data was processed. A multi-dimensional learning sample and teacher sample for improved genetic neural network training was constructed. Finally, the trend of sugar prices of 1-2 weeks in year 2008 to 2009 was predicted by cases, the comparison of the forecast algorithm versus gray linear systems, S-BP, SGA-BP algorithm showed the integrated optimization of forecast accuracy and forecast effect.
Keywords :
backpropagation; genetic algorithms; linear systems; pricing; S-BP algorithm; SGA-BP algorithm; adaptive crossover; gray linear systems; improved genetic neural network training; market fluctuations; multidimensional learning sample; mutation operator; optimization algorithm; population optimization model; sugar price forecast; Algorithm design and analysis; Convergence; Design optimization; Economic forecasting; Fluctuations; Genetic algorithms; Genetic mutations; Neural networks; Production; Sugar industry; BP Network; forecast; improved GA; sugar price;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Information Technology and Security Informatics, 2009. IITSI '09. Second International Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Moscow
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3580-7
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/IITSI.2009.9
Filename :
4777538
Link To Document :
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