Title :
Cointegration analysis on the relationship between Consumer Price Index and electricity price
Author :
Jia, Lizhai ; Li, Weidong
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Beijing Jiaotong Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
Electricity plays an important role in people´s daily life, so electricity price adjustment is a sensitive topic. In this paper cointegration theory is used to analyze the quantitative relationship between Consumer Price Index and electricity price. At first, literature overview is taken for the relationship between Consumer Price Index and electricity price. Secondly, the basic principles of co-integration theory and Granger Causality Test are introduced, including the stability test, cointegration tests and Granger Causality Test. Then, explorative analysis is taken. The researches of the relationship between the two were almost using qualitative method in the past, lack of quantitative research. This paper is to explore the relationship between Consumer Price Index and electricity price using quantitative method. We get the conclusion that there isn´t long-term cointegration relationship between CPI and electricity price. The results show that they haven´t effect on each other.
Keywords :
power markets; cointegration analysis; cointegration tests; cointegration theory; consumer price index; electricity price; granger causality test; qualitative method; quantitative research; stability test; Biological system modeling; Economics; Electricity; Equations; Indexes; Stability analysis; Time series analysis; CPI; cointegration; electricity price;
Conference_Titel :
Information and Financial Engineering (ICIFE), 2010 2nd IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Chongqing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-6927-7
DOI :
10.1109/ICIFE.2010.5609273