Title : 
A new method for estimating value at risk with EVT and HS
         
        
            Author : 
Xiaoping, Wang ; Xiangxian, Zhang ; Hongjian, Qu
         
        
            Author_Institution : 
Donghua Univ., Shanghai, China
         
        
        
        
        
        
            Abstract : 
During the past decade, Value at Risk (VaR) has become one of most commonly used Tools in risk measurement. In this paper, We propose a new method for estimating VaR. Our approach combines HS method to estimate the interior and the extreme value theory to estimate the tails. This paper uses a sample of the returns of S&P 500 daily closing index to test the performance of our VaR procedure. This approach is also backtested for financial data at different confidence level. The results of the backtesting indicate that the new approach is an adequate risk measure.
         
        
            Keywords : 
investment; stock markets; EVT; S&P 500; VaR; value at risk; value theory; Biological system modeling; Distribution functions; Estimation; Indexes; Portfolios; Testing; Time series analysis; Backtesting; HS; The extreme value theory; VaR;
         
        
        
        
            Conference_Titel : 
Information and Financial Engineering (ICIFE), 2010 2nd IEEE International Conference on
         
        
            Conference_Location : 
Chongqing
         
        
            Print_ISBN : 
978-1-4244-6927-7
         
        
        
            DOI : 
10.1109/ICIFE.2010.5609303