DocumentCode
2668350
Title
Forecasting time series using logical combinations of neural-based networks
Author
Thammano, Arit
Author_Institution
Fac. of Inf. Technol., King Mongkut´´s Inst. of Technol., Bangkok, Thailand
Volume
5
fYear
2000
fDate
2000
Firstpage
3573
Abstract
Forecasts are the basis for planning and decision making. The more accurate the organization´s forecasts, the better prepared it will be to take advantage of future opportunities and to reduce potential risks. Thus, it should come as no surprise that there is a tremendous number of statistical prediction algorithms already in existence. However, most of them are useful only when the time series exhibit little trend or seasonal variations but a great deal of irregular or random variation. Therefore, the objective of this paper is to propose a new intelligent forecasting technique which is constructed by combining n-trained neural-based network together. The experimental results based on simulated data show a significant improvement in forecasting accuracy
Keywords
decision theory; forecasting theory; neural nets; time series; decision making; intelligent forecasting; neural-based networks; planning; time series; Backpropagation algorithms; Decision making; Econometrics; Economic forecasting; Feedforward neural networks; Fuzzy systems; Genetic algorithms; Intelligent networks; Neural networks; Predictive models;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, 2000 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Nashville, TN
ISSN
1062-922X
Print_ISBN
0-7803-6583-6
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICSMC.2000.886563
Filename
886563
Link To Document