Title :
Forecast method research of activity-centered materiel support cost
Author :
Gong, Yingying ; Guo, Linhan ; Ma, Lin ; Cao, Zhisheng
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Reliability & Syst. Eng., Beihang Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
This article refers to forecast and analysis of materiel support cost in service during the development phase and presents an activity-centered materiel support cost forecasting method. The method is based on cost breakdown structure. First, the breakdown structure of support cost is established according to the detail level of support activities. Then each cost item every year in service in that structure is estimated on the basis of the frequency of support activities and revised in accordance with the number of materiel in use and support resources. After that, the cost and its percentage in total costs of each item are identified. Support cost is analyzed and high cost item in services, whose causes are analyzed by researchers, is found. Improvement actions reducing support cost are adopted. At last, an activity-centered materiel support cost forecasting case for a communication device is given, which provides effective technical support for support cost prediction for related personnel.
Keywords :
costing; forecasting theory; maintenance engineering; production equipment; activity centered materiel support cost forecasting method; breakdown structure; communication device; cost prediction; forecast method research; Electric breakdown; Equations; Estimation; Frequency estimation; Maintenance engineering; Mathematical model; Personnel; activity; cost; failure; forecast; support;
Conference_Titel :
Reliability, Maintainability and Safety (ICRMS), 2011 9th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Guiyang
Print_ISBN :
978-1-61284-667-5
DOI :
10.1109/ICRMS.2011.5979469