Title :
Models for Predicting the Value of E-Commerce Trade in China
Author :
Liu, Min ; Sun, Shudong
Author_Institution :
Northwestern Polytech. Univ., Xian
Abstract :
In the literature review, few studies exist, which predict the value of e-commerce. The study establishes models for predicting the value of e-commerce trade in China by use of main statistical indicators and data in Statistical Report on the Internet Development in China released by CNNIC Firstly, factors affecting e- commerce trade value in China and their relation with e-commerce trade value are analyzed. Secondly, models for predicting the future of the factors are proposed. Finally, The combined model is constructed to predict the value of e-commerce in China in the near future, and is proved to be satisfied because the prediction results are close to related statistics released by authority organizations recently.
Keywords :
electronic commerce; regression analysis; China; Internet development; e-commerce trade; nonlinear regression model; statistical indicators; statistical report; Bandwidth; Computational intelligence; Economic forecasting; Economic indicators; Electronic commerce; Finance; Internet; Predictive models; Security; Statistics;
Conference_Titel :
Computational Intelligence and Security Workshops, 2007. CISW 2007. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Harbin
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3073-4
DOI :
10.1109/CISW.2007.4425448
