Mathematical Model for Probability of Salvation: Theory of Karma

Probability represents a degree of belief or level of confidence we place in a hypothesis. The law of "karma" based on the cause and effect forms the integral part of the Hindu, Buddhist, and Jain philosophy. In statistics, Bayes\´ theorem was formulated two hundred years ago to re-evaluate probabilities when a new evidence for or against the hypothesis comes to light. Since we are contributing to karmas based on our actions good and bad deeds, our salvation or nirvana is being determined by the cumulative effects of good and bad karmas. This paper examines the status of salvation as we reincarnate into different lives doing good and bad karmas. A simple model for salvation shows that a person can achieve salvation or nirvana by continuing to do good karmas in eight consecutive lives.