• DocumentCode
    2711560
  • Title

    High Order Neural Networks for wind speed time series prediction

  • Author

    Alanis, Alma Y. ; Ricalde, Luis J. ; Sanchez, Edgar N.

  • Author_Institution
    CUCEI, Univ. de Guadalajara, Zapopan, Mexico
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    14-19 June 2009
  • Firstpage
    76
  • Lastpage
    80
  • Abstract
    In this paper, we propose a high order neural network (HONN) trained with an extended Kalman filter based algorithm to predict wind speed. Due to the chaotic behavior of the wind time series, it is not possible satisfactorily to apply the traditional forecasting techniques for time series; however, the results presented in this paper confirm that HONNs can very well capture the complexity underlying wind forecasting; this model produces accurate one-step ahead predictions.
  • Keywords
    Kalman filters; chaos; load forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; time series; wind power; chaotic behavior; extended Kalman filter; forecasting techniques; high order neural networks; wind forecasting; wind speed time series prediction; Chaos; Mesh generation; Neural networks; Power generation; Power system modeling; Predictive models; Wind energy generation; Wind forecasting; Wind speed; Wind turbines;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Neural Networks, 2009. IJCNN 2009. International Joint Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Atlanta, GA
  • ISSN
    1098-7576
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-3548-7
  • Electronic_ISBN
    1098-7576
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/IJCNN.2009.5178893
  • Filename
    5178893