Title :
High Order Neural Networks for wind speed time series prediction
Author :
Alanis, Alma Y. ; Ricalde, Luis J. ; Sanchez, Edgar N.
Author_Institution :
CUCEI, Univ. de Guadalajara, Zapopan, Mexico
Abstract :
In this paper, we propose a high order neural network (HONN) trained with an extended Kalman filter based algorithm to predict wind speed. Due to the chaotic behavior of the wind time series, it is not possible satisfactorily to apply the traditional forecasting techniques for time series; however, the results presented in this paper confirm that HONNs can very well capture the complexity underlying wind forecasting; this model produces accurate one-step ahead predictions.
Keywords :
Kalman filters; chaos; load forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; time series; wind power; chaotic behavior; extended Kalman filter; forecasting techniques; high order neural networks; wind forecasting; wind speed time series prediction; Chaos; Mesh generation; Neural networks; Power generation; Power system modeling; Predictive models; Wind energy generation; Wind forecasting; Wind speed; Wind turbines;
Conference_Titel :
Neural Networks, 2009. IJCNN 2009. International Joint Conference on
Conference_Location :
Atlanta, GA
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3548-7
Electronic_ISBN :
1098-7576
DOI :
10.1109/IJCNN.2009.5178893