DocumentCode
2717460
Title
The Statistical Analysis of Chinese Stock Market Fluctuations by the Interacting Particle Systems
Author
Wang, Tiansong ; Wang, Jun
Author_Institution
Coll. of Sci., Inst. of Financial Math. & Financial Eng., Beijing Jiaotong Univ., Beijing
Volume
3
fYear
2008
fDate
3-4 Aug. 2008
Firstpage
42
Lastpage
46
Abstract
The statistical analysis of Chinese stock market fluctuations modeled by the interacting particle systems has been done in this paper. The contact process of the interacting particle systems is presented in this paper, where it is a continuous time Markov process, one interpretation of this model is as a model for the spread of an infection. Based on the contact process, a new stochastic stock price model of stock markets is modeled. From it, the statistical properties of Shenzhen composite Index are studied. The data of Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE) Composite Index is analyzed, and the corresponding simulation is made by the computer computation, and we further investigate the statistical properties, fat tails phenomena and the power-law distributions of returns. The methods of Skewness-Kurtosis test, Kolmogorov-Smirnov test are applied to study the fluctuation behavior of the returns for the stock price and index.
Keywords
Markov processes; pricing; statistical distributions; statistical testing; stock markets; Chinese stock market fluctuation; Kolmogorov-Smirnov test; Shenzhen stock exchange composite index; Skewness-Kurtosis test; contact process; continuous time Markov process; fat tail phenomena; particle system interaction; return power-law distribution; statistical analysis; stochastic stock price model; Analytical models; Computational modeling; Distributed computing; Fluctuations; Markov processes; Power system modeling; Statistical analysis; Stochastic processes; Stock markets; Testing; chinese stock market; fluctuation; interacting particle systems. the contact model;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Computing, Communication, Control, and Management, 2008. CCCM '08. ISECS International Colloquium on
Conference_Location
Guangzhou
Print_ISBN
978-0-7695-3290-5
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/CCCM.2008.205
Filename
4609793
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