Customer baseline load (CBL) calculation using exponential smoothing model with weather adjustment

Author

Wi, Young-Min ; Kim, Ji-Hui ; Joo, Sung-Kwan ; Park, Jong-Bae ; Oh, Jae-Chul

Author_Institution

Dept. of Electr. Eng., Korea Univ., Seoul, South Korea

fYear

2009

fDate

26-30 Oct. 2009

Firstpage

1

Lastpage

4

Abstract

This paper proposes CBL calculation method that uses exponential smoothing model with weather adjustment multiplicative. It can estimate the daily electric load patterns of customers who participate in a demand response program. The proposed method is designed to estimate CBL using exponential smoothing model. The proposed method adopts weather adjustment for compensating CBL because the weather has strong influence on CBL. The numerical test results show that the proposed method can improve the accuracy of CBL.

Keywords

load flow; load forecasting; smoothing methods; customer baseline load; daily electric load patterns; demand response program; exponential smoothing; weather adjustment; Asia; Design methodology; Electric variables measurement; Load management; Power system measurements; Research and development; Smoothing methods; Testing; Customer Baseline Load; Demand Response; Exponential Smoothing; Weather Adjustment;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Transmission & Distribution Conference & Exposition: Asia and Pacific, 2009

Conference_Location

Seoul

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-5230-9

Electronic_ISBN

978-1-4244-5230-9

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/TD-ASIA.2009.5356984

Filename

5356984