Title :
Multi-attribute Fuzzy Time Series Based on Adaptive Expectation Model
Author :
Cheng, Ching-Hsue ; Liu, Jing-Wei ; Hung, Cheng-Chih
Author_Institution :
Nat. Yunlin Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Touliu
Abstract :
Time-series models have been used to make reasonably accurate predictions in the areas of weather forecasting, academic enrolment and stock price etc...This paper propose a multiple attribute fuzzy time series based on adaptive expectation model, which incorporates trend-weighting and adaptive expectation model into the fuzzy time-series models advanced by Chen´s and Yu ´s method. In verification, using actual trading data of Taiwan Stock Index (TAIEX), we evaluate the accuracy of our approach, and compare our proposed method with Chen´s, Yu´s and Cheng´s methods.
Keywords :
fuzzy set theory; stock markets; time series; Taiwan Stock Index; adaptive expectation model; multi-attribute fuzzy time series; Clustering algorithms; Clustering methods; Fuzzy logic; Humans; Information management; Paper technology; Partitioning algorithms; Predictive models; Time series analysis; Weather forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Innovative Computing, Information and Control, 2007. ICICIC '07. Second International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Kumamoto
Print_ISBN :
0-7695-2882-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICICIC.2007.399