Title :
Intelligent approach for forecasting in power engineering systems
Author :
Osório, G.J. ; Pousinho, H.M.I. ; Matias, J.C.O. ; Catalão, J. P S
Author_Institution :
Univ. of Beira Interior, Covilhã, Portugal
Abstract :
In a deregulated profit-based environment, consumers and producers need short-term intelligent prediction tools to predict their bid strategies in the energy market. Also, all markets players need accurate forecasting tools with lower uncertainty, allowing to maximizing their profits. Hence, this manuscript presents a new intelligent approach based on a combination of Wavelet Transform (WT), Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization (EPSO) and Adaptive Network and Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) for forecasting in power engineering systems. The results of two real-world case studies are shown, regarding energy prices and wind power, which show the proficiency of the proposed intelligent approach.
Keywords :
evolutionary computation; fuzzy reasoning; particle swarm optimisation; power engineering computing; wavelet transforms; wind power; adaptive network; bid strategy prediction; consumers; deregulated profit-based environment; energy market; energy price; evolutionary particle swarm optimization; forecasting tools; fuzzy inference system; intelligent approach; power engineering system; producers; profits; short-term intelligent prediction tools; wavelet transform; wind power; Artificial intelligence; Electricity; Forecasting; Uncertainty; Wavelet transforms; Wind power generation; Intelligent system; evolutionary programming; neuro-fuzzy; prediction; simulation;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Engineering Systems (INES), 2012 IEEE 16th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Lisbon
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2694-0
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4673-2693-3
DOI :
10.1109/INES.2012.6249848