Title :
Adaptive Filter and Improved Gray Predictive Model Based Multi-Model Predictive Method and Its Application in Quarter Load Forecasting
Author :
Jun Yan ; Chengwang Zhao ; Xingsheng Gu
Author_Institution :
Res. Inst. of Autom., East China Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Shanghai
Abstract :
Based on adaptive filter model and optimized GM(1,1) model, a new method - combined multi model of optimized GM(1,1) and adaptive filter - is introduced, which exponent smoothing the history data and dived the history data according to its time property to gain the better result. Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the model and the feasibility of the proposed algorithm
Keywords :
adaptive filters; grey systems; load forecasting; smoothing methods; adaptive filter; exponent smoothing; gray predictive model; multimodel predictive method; power load forecasting; quarter load forecasting; Adaptive filters; Automation; History; Intelligent control; Load forecasting; Optimization methods; Predictive models; Smoothing methods; Grey Model; adaptive filter; exponent smoothing; power load forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Control and Automation, 2006. WCICA 2006. The Sixth World Congress on
Conference_Location :
Dalian
Print_ISBN :
1-4244-0332-4
DOI :
10.1109/WCICA.2006.1713435
