A systems dynamics case study of competing optical storage technologies under market uncertainty

Author

Pretorius, L. ; Pretorius, J.-H.C.

Author_Institution

Dept. of Eng. & Technol. Manage., Univ. of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa

fYear

2010

fDate

2-5 June 2010

Firstpage

23

Lastpage

27

Abstract

Interacting technologies are the result of innovation and can be considered as complex systems. Technology is then the result of innovation. These interactions between technologies are typically time dependant and are modeled here using systems dynamics. The effect of uncertain market conditions in the case of competing laser optical storage technology systems is specifically discussed as part of a systems dynamics case study using triangular distributions. The Lotka-Volterra approach is used to model the interaction between the two technology systems. This work is based on previous work on the substitution of red laser diode technology by blue laser technology in optical storage systems.

Keywords

innovation management; laser beam applications; optical storage; Lotka-Volterra approach; blue laser technology; complex system; innovation; interacting technology; laser optical storage technology system; market uncertainty; red laser diode technology; systems dynamics; triangular distribution; uncertain market condition; Africa; Apertures; DVD; Diode lasers; Laser modes; Laser theory; Space technology; Technological innovation; Technology management; Uncertainty; Technology systems; laser; optical storage systems; systems dynamics;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Management of Innovation and Technology (ICMIT), 2010 IEEE International Conference on

Conference_Location

Singapore

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-6565-1

Electronic_ISBN

978-1-4244-6566-8

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/ICMIT.2010.5492844

Filename

5492844