Title :
A systems dynamics case study of competing optical storage technologies under market uncertainty
Author :
Pretorius, L. ; Pretorius, J.-H.C.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Eng. & Technol. Manage., Univ. of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa
Abstract :
Interacting technologies are the result of innovation and can be considered as complex systems. Technology is then the result of innovation. These interactions between technologies are typically time dependant and are modeled here using systems dynamics. The effect of uncertain market conditions in the case of competing laser optical storage technology systems is specifically discussed as part of a systems dynamics case study using triangular distributions. The Lotka-Volterra approach is used to model the interaction between the two technology systems. This work is based on previous work on the substitution of red laser diode technology by blue laser technology in optical storage systems.
Keywords :
innovation management; laser beam applications; optical storage; Lotka-Volterra approach; blue laser technology; complex system; innovation; interacting technology; laser optical storage technology system; market uncertainty; red laser diode technology; systems dynamics; triangular distribution; uncertain market condition; Africa; Apertures; DVD; Diode lasers; Laser modes; Laser theory; Space technology; Technological innovation; Technology management; Uncertainty; Technology systems; laser; optical storage systems; systems dynamics;
Conference_Titel :
Management of Innovation and Technology (ICMIT), 2010 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Singapore
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-6565-1
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-6566-8
DOI :
10.1109/ICMIT.2010.5492844
