Title :
Prediction of the Number of International Tourists in China Based on Gray Model (1,1)
Author :
Lingbin, Yang ; Xia, Zhang ; Jin, Wu
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Urban & Environ. Sci., Northeast Normal Univ., Changchun, China
Abstract :
A gray model for international tourists prediction in China is established based on gray system theory and related data since 1978. Tested by posterior check and Small probability, the model is proved qualified to predict the number of international tourists with high elevation fitting precision. Gray system theory is a powerful tool to study tourist phenomena, because tourism system is belonging to gray system. This paper will be a useful reference to the study on tourism sequence prediction.
Keywords :
grey systems; probability; travel industry; China; gray model; gray system theory; international tourist prediction; posterior check; probability; Content management; Control systems; Educational institutions; Electronic commerce; Humans; Power system modeling; Power system planning; Predictive models; Testing; Uncertainty; Gray Model; Gray System; tourists prediction;
Conference_Titel :
Electronic Commerce and Business Intelligence, 2009. ECBI 2009. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Beijing
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3661-3
DOI :
10.1109/ECBI.2009.34
