Empirical Analysis on the Substitution Effects of Electronic Currency

In this document, we differentiate the long-term impact and the short-term substitution effects of electronic currency by dividing money assets into three levels. We then do empirical analysis on the related seasonal data in China by unit root test, co-integration test and error correction model. The result shows that substitution effects of electronic currency will decrease in the short-term and increase in the long-term in China.