Title :
Prospect theory based multi-criteria decision making method
Author :
Jun-hua, Hu ; Yi-wen, Zhou
Author_Institution :
Bus. Sch., Central South Univ., Changsha, China
Abstract :
With respect to risk decision making problems, a multi-criteria decision making method based on prospect theory is proposed. This method firstly describes multi-criteria decision making problem. Reference points of criteria are given and the outcomes for criteria are calculated. Then, according to value function and decision weight function, the prospect value of criteria for every alternative is calculated, and the prospect value of alternative is acquired by weighted average method. At last, all the alternatives are sorted and the optimal one is chosen according to the prospect values. Feasibility of the method is demonstrated by a simple illustrative example.
Keywords :
decision making; higher order statistics; risk analysis; utility theory; cumulative prospect theory; decision weight function; expected utility theory; multicriteria risk decision making method; reference point; weighted average method; Decision making; Logistics; Utility theory; Multi-criteria decision making; Outcome; Prospect result; Prospect theory; Reference point;
Conference_Titel :
Control and Decision Conference, 2009. CCDC '09. Chinese
Conference_Location :
Guilin
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2722-2
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2723-9
DOI :
10.1109/CCDC.2009.5191814