Title :
Establishing Financial Crisis Early Warning Models for Listed Companies
Author_Institution :
Bus. Sch., Hohai Univ., Nanjing, China
Abstract :
In the context of financial storm, financial crisis early warning has become an important object of research in the field of corporate financial management. This paper collected the data from China Stock Market Trading Database (CSMAR) and sorted out the financial indices of listed companies. We first used factor analysis to select variables and extract common factors, and then established the financial crisis early warning models with logistic regression. The research manifests that signs of corporations´ financial crisis reflected by their financial indices always precedes the actual crisis. The financial crisis can be predicted through comprehensive analysis of these important indices.
Keywords :
corporate modelling; economic cycles; financial management; regression analysis; stock markets; CSMAR; China stock market trading database; corporate financial management; factor analysis; financial crisis early warning models; financial indices; financial storm; logistic regression; Biological system modeling; Companies; Data mining; Educational institutions; Mathematical model; Profitability; early warning model; financial crisis; listed company;
Conference_Titel :
Information Technology, Computer Engineering and Management Sciences (ICM), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Nanjing, Jiangsu
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-1419-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICM.2011.123