Modeling psycho-social attributes in conflict, extended

Geo-political decisions can be critical determinants of success in war and peace. These decisions are based on assumed psychological and sociological responses to the decisions by the various individuals and groups in the decision environment. For example, mental models are used in deciding whether to display our naval “presence” in a foreign port or whether a discussion on the golf course would be more effective. However, in constructing consistent policies over long periods of time that involve the conflicting interests of many countries, the complexities often overwhelm simple models. A computer implementation, combining and extending the simple models, might be useful; but its design is a hard problem. This paper presents a philosophical framework for modeling psycho-social attributes at the theater level and develops some of the necessary structure