Title :
Transport volume forecast based on GRNN network
Author :
Zhengxiang, Yang ; Guimin, Xu ; Jinwen, Wang
Author_Institution :
Digital Eng. & Simulation Res. Center, Huazhong Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Wuhan, China
Abstract :
As there is a close relationship among transportation, local economy and enterprise development, the forecast of the traffic volume has become an important research project of transport market and economic development. The structure and algorithm of the Generalized Regression Neural Network (GRNN) are induced in this paper. The mathematical background of GRNN network is also described in detail. As a case, a GRNN network is built taking a number of important parameters that affect transport capacity as sample data. After learning and training to meet the minimum error, this network will forecast the future traffic volume. The result demonstrates the effectiveness of using GRNN to forecast transport volume. Finally, the advantages of GRNN network in forecasting the traffic volume are summarized.
Keywords :
economics; forecasting theory; neural nets; regression analysis; transportation; GRNN network; economic development; enterprise development; generalized regression neural network; local economy; transport market; transport volume forecast; transportation; Aggregates; Demand forecasting; Economic forecasting; Educational institutions; Electronic mail; Prediction methods; Predictive models; Technology forecasting; Telecommunication traffic; Time series analysis; Forecast; GRNN; Gaussian function; Transport volume;
Conference_Titel :
Future Computer and Communication (ICFCC), 2010 2nd International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-5821-9
DOI :
10.1109/ICFCC.2010.5497475