Title :
E-tsRBF: Preliminary Results on the Simultaneous Determination of Time-Lags and Parameters of Radial Basis Function Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting
Author :
Parras-Gutierrez, E. ; Rivas, V. ; Jesus, M. J del
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Comput. Sci., Univ. of Jaen, Jaen, Spain
fDate :
Nov. 30 2009-Dec. 2 2009
Abstract :
Radial basis function neural networks have been successfully applied to time series prediction in literature. Frequently, methods to build and train these networks must be given the past periods or lags to be used in order to create patterns and forecast any time series. This paper introduces E-tsRBF, a meta-evolutionary algorithm that evolves both the neural networks and the set of lags needed to forecast time series at the same time. Up to twenty-one time series are evaluated in this work, showing the behavior of the new method.
Keywords :
delays; evolutionary computation; radial basis function networks; time series; E-tsRBF; meta-evolutionary algorithm; radial basis function neural network; time series forecasting; time-lags; Artificial neural networks; Data mining; Economic forecasting; Evolutionary computation; Intelligent networks; Intelligent systems; Neural networks; Neurons; Predictive models; Radial basis function networks; Neural Network; evolutionary algorithms; time series;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Systems Design and Applications, 2009. ISDA '09. Ninth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Pisa
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4735-0
Electronic_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3872-3
DOI :
10.1109/ISDA.2009.234