Title :
Prediction of antidumping remedy effects based on grey model
Author :
Bin-rong, Wang ; Li, Liu
Author_Institution :
Dongling Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Univ. of Sci. & Technol. Beijing, Beijing, China
fDate :
June 30 2012-July 2 2012
Abstract :
Researches about remedy effects of antidumping (AD) measures on the macroscopic vision have been remarkable. For the specific industry, however, some paradoxes exist. In order to clarify this phenomenon, the prediction of envelope in grey model was introduced in this paper and the Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) industry was an example. Based on standpoint in 2009, the time of AD reexamination, this paper had compared the prediction of mutually related indices in PVC industry from 2010 to 2011 with the real value, and then predicted the changes in 2012. Conclusion from the study was that the effects of AD remedy were not satisfactory as usual and demonstrated that the paradoxes have existed in PVC industry. In addition, any industry which has been damaged by dumping could mirror AD effects with this method and then makes relatively rational policies for the specific industry on development.
Keywords :
environmental factors; grey systems; plastic products; polymers; AD reexamination; PVC industry; Polyvinyl Chloride; antidumping remedy effect prediction; dumping could mirror AD effects; envelope; grey model; macroscopic vision; mutually related indices; Economics; Employment; Equations; Industries; Marketing and sales; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Polyvinyl Chloride; antidumping; grey model; prediction;
Conference_Titel :
System Science and Engineering (ICSSE), 2012 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Dalian, Liaoning
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-0944-8
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4673-0943-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICSSE.2012.6257220