DocumentCode :
2840479
Title :
Short-time prediction method based on fractal theory for traffic flow
Author :
Ning, Chen ; Jian, Wu ; Yifeng, Wang ; Juanjun, Xu ; Hangzao, Dong
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Mech. & Automotive Eng., Zhejiang Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Hang Zhou, China
fYear :
2009
fDate :
17-19 June 2009
Firstpage :
458
Lastpage :
461
Abstract :
It´s very difficult to predict the nonlinear traffic flow message, especially short-time traffic flow. To solve the issue, the nonlinear fractal phenomenon of urban traffic is analyzed. Based on the fractal prediction technology applied in other fields, a dedicated improved fractal model is raised to predict short-time traffic flow parameter. A minimum fractal dimension is given according to the distinguished concrete traffic circumstance in the model. The weekly traffic similarity is also inducted to improve the accuracy of the model. Finally, the improved fractal model is employed to predict the traffic flow in Hangzhou city. The experiment result shows the improved fractal method proposed here possesses a high prediction precision.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; road traffic; Hangzhou city; fractal prediction technology; improved fractal model; minimum fractal dimension; nonlinear fractal phenomenon; nonlinear traffic flow message; short-time prediction method; short-time traffic flow; urban traffic; weekly traffic similarity; Automotive engineering; Cities and towns; Concrete; Electronic mail; Fractals; Mathematics; Mechanical engineering; Prediction methods; Predictive models; Traffic control; Fractal Theory; Mathematic Model for Prediction; Prediction Method; Urban Traffic Flow;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Control and Decision Conference, 2009. CCDC '09. Chinese
Conference_Location :
Guilin
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2722-2
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2723-9
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/CCDC.2009.5195007
Filename :
5195007
Link To Document :
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