DocumentCode :
2850208
Title :
CVaR-based decision-making model for interruptible load management
Author :
An, Xuena ; Zhang, Shaohua ; Wang, Xian
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Mechatron. Eng. & Autom., Shanghai Univ., Shanghai, China
fYear :
2010
fDate :
26-28 May 2010
Firstpage :
448
Lastpage :
451
Abstract :
Integration of risk factors into decision-making model for interruptible load management plays a valuable role for power suppliers to mitigate price risks and improve their profitability in electricity market environment. A decision-making model is developed for power suppliers to determine the interruptible load volume purchased from interruptible consumers. The power suppliers´ tradeoff between the wholesale market and interruptible load is considered as a portfolio selection problem. The conditional value-at-risk is employed to describe and measure the risk faced by power suppliers. In addition, a risk constraint is added to the decision-making model to take into account the risk preference of power suppliers. The Monte Carlo simulation-based numerical examples are presented to validate the reasonableness and effectiveness of the proposed model. It is also shown that the more averse to the risk, the larger volume of interruptible load the power supplier will choose. Furthermore, in order to hedge the wholesale market risk, the volume of interruptible load increases with increasing uncertainty in the wholesale market price.
Keywords :
Monte Carlo methods; decision making; load management; power markets; profitability; risk management; CVaR-based decision-making model; Monte Carlo simulation; conditional value-at-risk; electricity market environment; interruptible consumers; interruptible load management; interruptible load volume; portfolio selection problem; power suppliers tradeoff; price risks; profitability; risk constraint; risk factors; wholesale market price; Decision making; Electricity supply industry; Load management; Load modeling; Monte Carlo methods; Numerical simulation; Portfolios; Power measurement; Power supplies; Profitability; Condition value-at-risk; Electricity market; Interruptible load management; Risk management;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Control and Decision Conference (CCDC), 2010 Chinese
Conference_Location :
Xuzhou
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-5181-4
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-5182-1
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/CCDC.2010.5499021
Filename :
5499021
Link To Document :
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