• DocumentCode
    2851864
  • Title

    Ev maket expansion based on BASS model

  • Author

    Zhenlin Wei ; Yue Wu ; Ailing Huang

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Traffic & Transp., Beijing Jiaotong Univ., Beijing, China
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    17-17 Oct. 2009
  • Firstpage
    243
  • Lastpage
    247
  • Abstract
    The popularization of electric vehicle (EV), which will be significant in reducing vehicle emission and easing the excessive consumption of oil resources on traffic and transport, is a key solution for the current transport energy and environmental problems. In this paper, the target market of EV is defined based on the analysis of technical and economic characteristics of EV. Through a comparative analysis on the traditional vehicles and EV, a forecast model based on BASS is developed to study the market expansion of EV in different fields. Finally, this model is adopted to investigate the expansion of EV in Shanghai.
  • Keywords
    electric vehicles; forecasting theory; market research; EV maket expansion; bass model; comparative analysis; electric vehicle; environmental problem; forecast model; oil resources consumption; transport energy problem; vehicle emission reduction; Bass model; electric vehicle; market expansion; substitute rate;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    iet
  • Conference_Titel
    Advanced Forum on Transportation of China (AFTC 2009), 5th
  • Conference_Location
    Beijing
  • ISSN
    0537-9989
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1049/cp.2009.1621
  • Filename
    5499208