DocumentCode
2852265
Title
Freight transport demand prediction model of freight corridor
Author
Yun Bai ; Yang Pei ; Lingling Yang ; Meiquan Xie ; Zengyong Zhang
Author_Institution
MOE Key Lab. for Urban Transp. Complex Syst. Theor. & Technol., Beijing Jiaotong Univ., Beijing, China
fYear
2009
fDate
17-17 Oct. 2009
Firstpage
91
Lastpage
95
Abstract
Scientific and accurate transportation volume prediction for freight corridor is one of the essential works of transport network planning, which masters the corridor´s development, trend, characteristic, raw and quantity. The traditional prediction method of freight volume includes exponential smoothing model, regression Prediction, GM (1, 1) model and combined model. This paper explores the procedures and characteristics of these models. And the GM (1,1) model and cubic exponential smoothing model are used to predict the Shuozhou-Huanghua railway freight volume. Based on that, the suitable conditions of the traditional models are discussed as well.
Keywords
freight containers; regression analysis; transportation; Shuozhou Huanghua railway; accurate transportation volume prediction; freight corridor; freight transport demand prediction model; regression prediction; scientific transportation volume prediction; smoothing model; transport network planning; corridor; freight transport; prediction model; railway traffic;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
iet
Conference_Titel
Advanced Forum on Transportation of China (AFTC 2009), 5th
Conference_Location
Beijing
ISSN
0537-9989
Type
conf
DOI
10.1049/cp.2009.1593
Filename
5499236
Link To Document