DocumentCode
2853609
Title
Measuring technological forecasting
Author
Öztemel, Ercan ; Ayhan, M. Batuhan
Author_Institution
Dept. of Ind. Eng., Marmara Univ., Istanbul, Turkey
fYear
2009
fDate
23-26 June 2009
Firstpage
49
Lastpage
53
Abstract
The importance of technological forecasting is increasing due to immense effect of technology on the organizations. Accurate forecast will obviously yield more benefit in shorter time scales. Although there are so many studies to forecast the single technological aspect of certain products, such as Flight Speed or Bomber Carriage of air fighters, a general model to forecast overall technological changes is yet to be developed. In this paper, a methodology of measuring the capability of forecasting the technological changes with respect to Throughput Time, Quantity per Day, Rework Rate, and New Investment Revenue is presented.
Keywords
innovation management; technological forecasting; forecasting capability; investment revenue; manufacturing systems; rework rate; technological changes; technological forecasting; technological innovations; throughput time; Aircraft manufacture; Economic forecasting; Extrapolation; Investments; Monitoring; Predictive models; Propulsion; Space technology; Technological innovation; Technology forecasting;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Industrial Informatics, 2009. INDIN 2009. 7th IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Cardiff, Wales
ISSN
1935-4576
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-3759-7
Electronic_ISBN
1935-4576
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/INDIN.2009.5195777
Filename
5195777
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